The forecast for this weekend looks as though there are some minor storm threats, as well as some localized flash flooding in some areas.
In the south, there is an upper level low that is producing numerous showers and storms that will remain stationary in the Mississippi Valley today. This means that heavy rains and thunderstorms are a threat for Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, western Alabama, and western Tennessee. The heavy rain may cause some localized flooding issues in some spots, especially closer to the Gulf Coast including the Florida Panhandle and southeast Louisiana. As this upper low weakens over the weekend the showers and storms will become more scattered. Severe thunderstorms are a possibility, but a large scale outbreak of severe weather is not in the predictions. A cold front will make its way into the Carolinas, producing scattered showers and thunderstorms throughout Friday. Also, stronger storms could possibly produce strong wind gusts and torrential downpours. The chance of thunderstorms will increase in Georgia over the weekend as the cold front moves towards the state. Showers and thunderstorms will remain scattered throughout the beginning of next week.
The Midwest will be dealing with a small cell of thunderstorms and showers over the weekend, including the eastern plains and Mid-Mississippi valley. Frequent lightning, heavy downpours, gusting winds and small hail are all possibilities in the stronger cells, but an overall severe threat is low. A separate cold front will be moving through the Dakotas and Nebraska today, making for thunderstorms that could include damaging wind gusts and large hail. Conditions will stay fairly dry for much of the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley with high surface pressure control throughout the rest of the weekend. More scattered storms are possible from the Minnesota’s to the Dakota’s and some may possibly be severe. The severe threat will ramp up near the end of the weekend that will include a higher risk of tornadoes, and this will be located in the north-central plains.
In the Northeast, a cold front will be approaching from Canada that will cause showers and thunderstorms in Upstate New York and New England today. In the Middle Atlantic it will be a mainly dry Friday. For the most part, it will be a mainly dry weekend for most of the Northeastern states. Showers and thunderstorms will return into the region by the middle of next week.
For the Western states, scattered thunderstorms will begin to bubble up in the afternoon near the Rocky Mountains from Wyoming to New Mexico. Some of the stronger storm cells may be capable of producing strong gusts of wind and hail. Severe weather is possible during the evening hours in south Wyoming and northeast Colorado. This can include strong gusting winds, large hail, and some isolated tornadoes are also a possibility with those storms. Also, spotty showers are very likely through the Cascades of Washington and Oregon. The other regions of the west will be dry for the weekend. Some showers and storms that could become severe may dominate the Rockies and High Plains on Saturday.
Check out your local weather authority or the Weather Channel for any updates in your area!